From Improving Gas-Coal Prices, Banpu Projects Rebound In Q3

ARGO CAPITAL
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Banpu Projects a Strong Rebound in the Second Half

Sinon Vongkusolkit, CEO of Banpu Public Company Limited, projects a robust outlook for the company’s third-quarter performance, driven by a positive shift in global commodity prices. The upcoming winter season is expected to increase demand, which should in turn elevate the price of natural gas in the coming two quarters. Simultaneously, the company believes the coal price may have passed its lowest point and is anticipated to begin a rebound, although the recovery is not expected to be a sharp, “V-shaped” increment. This positive momentum is crucial for the company, as it is set to uplift the $42.76 million (approximately THB 1,428 million) loss from an unrealized foreign exchange (FX) that was recognized in the first half of the year. While the company is closely monitoring FX fluctuations to mitigate risks and determine the final quarterly outcome, it has affirmed that shareholder benefits remain its top priority. A decision on the interim dividend will be made in the upcoming Board of Directors meeting.

Strategic Investments and a Positive Outlook for 2026

Looking ahead, Banpu anticipates a further improvement in gas prices in 2026 compared to 2025, driven by continued market dynamics. In a strategic move to ensure stable and sustainable cash flow, the company has already locked in sales prices for more than half of its natural gas capacity at $3.5-3.6 per million BTU, a proactive measure that secures operations regardless of market volatility. The company also projects a strengthening of coal prices, which could lead to better sales prices and contribute to overall profitability in the future. Furthermore, Banpu has taken decisive action in its strategic portfolio optimization. This includes the divestment of its stake in the Nakoso IGCC Power Plant G.K. to redirect cash toward new, high-growth investments that align with its long-term vision. This move is a testament to the company’s commitment to providing green energy solutions and fostering sustainable growth. A prime example of this is the recent investment in 10 solar power plants in Japan, totaling 91.69 megawatts, with the specific goal of generating stable cash flow to fund future renewable energy projects.

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“Energy Symphonics” and the Path to Sustainable Growth

In the first half of 2025, Banpu expanded its business under a comprehensive strategic plan it has named “Energy Symphonics.” This framework is a multi-pronged approach designed to optimize the company’s portfolio by directing cash flow toward its highest-performing assets. The plan also involves a significant restructuring of operations to enhance efficiency, implementing advanced digital technologies and artificial intelligence (AI) to streamline processes, decreasing mining costs to improve overall profitability, and rebalancing its capital structure to reflect the company’s long-term growth plan. This transformation is driven by key progress in the natural gas business, the CCUS (Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage) Renewable+ business, and the “new age mining” business. Banpu views these initiatives as a vital mission that will not only create additional value for the company and its stakeholders but also serve as a key component in its sustained transformation into a modern and responsible energy solutions provider for the future.

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